Wednesday, September 24, 2014

Roster Freak Out: Week 4

Two weeks, two wins, too sweet.

Admittedly, I had some help last week thanks to an abysmal performance from Deals and Steals. With bye weeks in effect now, it'll be tougher to beat anyone, but hopefully the picks below will keep the streak alive.

First though, a Serious word on my waiver claim for DeAngelo Williams. Did I overpay? Yeah, by a lot evidently. Anything more than a $0 claim was overpaying for him - I seriously misjudged the market for him. You may still be wondering: 'why did you think he was ever worth $41 in the first place?'

BELIEVE
Here's the deal: remember the market for Donald Brown? He went for $38, beating out a matching bid of $38 and several other bids in the double-digits. I get why: he was the lead back ahead of a then-healthy Danny Woodhead for probably the next 4 weeks.

Now let's compare with DeAngelo. The RBs who would compete for touches with him are both injured: Jonathan Stewart reportedly for about a month, and Mike Tolbert until Week 13. My understanding is Cam Newton's ribs are all busted and he's not as likely to rush at the goal-line. That leaves a lot of workload for DeAngelo.

Sure, he has had injury issues in recent years, but he was once an elite RB when he was a workhorse back several years ago, and certainly a more proven player than Donald Brown. So I see a bid of $38 for Brown and think 'I should probably bid a bit higher to get him.' Little did I know that no one had the same thinking. My brain was basically Frank the Tank streaking across the quad, not realizing it was the only one who made the mental journey.


Aaaaaaanyways, with that explanation aside, here are this week's picks!


QB: Teddy Bridgewater - I'm swinging for the fences on this one - love a QB that can run. Matt Asiata is terrible, forcing Teddy to do it all. He'll either get a bunch of points or none at all.
WR: Mike Evans - The Serious Cat ownership curse is lifted! I like that Mike Glennon is starting, which might provide better chemistry for the rook.
RB: Daniel Thomas - Yikes, slim pickings. I've got a hunch that Thomas gives Lamar Miller a breather after the Dolphins take a big lead on Oakland in London.
TE: Owen Daniels - Supposedly will take on Dennis Pitta's targets.
W/T: Jordan Matthews - Surprised no one's taking a flyer on him after last week; 49ers pass D one of the worst.
W/R: Stevie Johnson - Had a great game last week that'll hopefully warrant more snaps; Philly D allowing a ton of points thanks to Chip Kelly's grueling practices.
W/R: Jeremy Kerley - Subbing out Nate Washington since Charlie Whitehurst is a career backup for a reason. Meanwhile, Eric Decker is still injured, leaving Kerley to hopefully get 20 targets.
K: Caleb Sturgis - Gonna show those Londoners how to really kick a ball.
DEF: Buffalo - Bills D looking to make Ryan Fitzpatrick pay for ever making them believe in him.


Results:

QB: Teddy Bridgewater - 23.38 points
WR: Mike Evans - 12.5 points
RB: Daniel Thomas - 6 points
TE: Owen Daniels - 4.3 points
W/T: Jordan Matthews - 2.8 points
W/R: Stevie Johnson - 7.2 points
W/R: Jeremy Kerley - 0.3 points
K: Caleb Sturgis - 9 points
DEF: Buffalo - 10 points

TOTAL: 75.48 points

I could very well beat my own team if things continue to go sour for it. I'm on the verge of quitting fantasy football for good.

*Update*: The RFO team has beat my own, 75.48 to 73.9. The win streak continues, but it's bittersweet.

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